Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $144.8K traded on “FIFA World Cup Qualifiers: Argentina vs. Colombia,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
